The exit polls for the two assembly polls at Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir have come under much scrutiny ahead of the upcoming Maharashtra Elections. Results from these two states define political strategies and dynamics in Maharashtra as parties use leads drawn from those outcomes to prepare for the crucial contest.
What Exit Elections Are Saying About Haryana?
Haryana exit polls have predicted a mega victory of the Congress. The results are likely to bring about a sea change in the state’s political landscape. For instance, Dainik Bhaskar predicted that Congress is going to win 44-54 seats. The BJP might be able to get only 15-29 seats in the 90-member Haryana Assembly. Other exit polls by C-Voter-India Today and Republic Bharat-Matrize also preferred Congress. Which may reportedly win between 50-62 seats, while BJP could only manage 18-32.
In Haryana, the BJP has been ruling since 2014 with Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar. However, the current resignation of Khattar and JJP head Dushyant Chautala in March 2024. Availed a chance for Nayab Singh Saini to come forth as the chief ministerial candidate of the BJP. Even after the leadership change and Chautala’s JJP severed its coalition with the BJP. It appears that Congress under Bhupinder Singh Hooda is a resurrection kid, given the exit polls predict.
What The Exit Polls Have To Say About Jammu & Kashmir
The exit polls also predict an edge for the Congress-National Conference (NC) alliance, which may come out as the single largest coalition in this region. The C-Voter-India Today survey gave the NC-Congress alliance 40-48 seats and the BJP was stuck behind with 27-32 seats. Other exit polls, Dainik Bhaskar and Axis My India, have also predicted a win for NC-Congress with different seat counts but a lead over the BJP is an overarching trend.
This election, for historical reasons, marks the first since Jammu & Kashmir was bifurcated into two union territories in 2019. The People’s Democratic Party (PDP) is likely to get between 5-12 seats, while other regional parties might garner up to 16 seats between them, thus making it a multi-party competition. This will set the tone for the region’s political climate with the results, to be declared on October 8.
What does it mean for the Maharashtra Assembly Elections?
The Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir lessons might travel to the south as well. The dates of the Maharashtra elections are not announced. But a manner of reacting to the outcomes in these two northern states could indeed be factored into seat-sharing arrangements. Leadership decisions in Maharashtra’s political alliances. The Maha Vikas Aghadi, or MVA, comprises the Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena (UBT). Sharad Pawar’s NCP, and Congress, are all set to challenge the Maha Yuti Alliance-an amalgamation of the BJP. The Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena, and Ajit Pawar’s NCP faction.
2019: The BJP had pocketed 105 seats of the total 164 in Maharashtra. Of late, it has underperformed, at least following an embarrassing performance in the general election in 2024. The BJP appears to be open to contesting 160 of the 288 Maharashtra seats. Which could further weaken its bargaining power in the Maha Yuti Alliance if it fails to do so in Haryana. Eknath Shinde has been named as the CM face of the alliance. Although the BJP may still push for the retainment of Devendra Fadnavis at the top.
Conclusion
The Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir poll results could change the Maharashtra political landscape. If BJP falters, then potential alliance partners might demand more seats. Stake stronger claims over leadership roles, while Congress could get further buoyancy in the MVA alliance. Amidst seat-sharing discussions are still on among the parties in Maharashtra. The stakes are now being decided across these results ahead of a high-stakes election in the state.
FAQs
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What do exit polls say about the Haryana 2024 Assembly Elections?
Exit polls claim that Congress is ready to win the Haryana Assembly election, 44-62 seats. There can be a narrow victory by BJP on 15-32 seats.
2. Who is likely to lead Congress in Haryana?
Bhupinder Singh Hooda is likely to lead the Congress, as it gains momentum, according to the exit polls.
3. How does the BJP see its future from the exit polls?
BJP headed by Nayab Singh Saini is expected to perform poorly and cannot cross over the Congress.
4. Exit polls predict what is going to happen in the Jammu & Kashmir elections.
The NC-Congress alliance is likely to emerge victorious between 40-48 seats, while BJP may manage to win 27-32 seats.
5. What will be the impact of the Jammu & Kashmir election on the region?
This will be the first election since the bifurcation of Jammu & Kashmir in 2019, and the results are going to shape its future political climate.
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